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新一波寒潮来袭!南京上海有暴雪?

  • 2026-02-04 03:25:41
新一波寒潮来袭!南京上海有暴雪?
寒潮，是我国冬季常常发生的自然灾害，其发源地是蒙古—西伯利亚高压系统；但论其本身，其实是较强的冷锋系统，冷空气倾泻而下，这一定要分清。
根据EC、中央气象台等多方气象模型和机构预测下，本周末端（周四起）江浙沪地区将迎来一次显著的降温过程。就拿我所在的上海为例，先说气温：周四开始显著降温，最低气温在2～4摄氏度，最高气温估计仍有10+；周五再降，最低温在零度上下，最高气温会降到10摄氏度以下。周六和周日，由于冷锋过境完成，上海处于强冷气团控制下，最低气温在零下2～6摄氏度之间，最低可达零下8摄氏度，各位需注意保暖。（以下是中央气象台的预报）
再论降水。周五，冷锋过境中，由于这次强度很强，对流也会非常明显，预计上海会有明显的降雨过程，可达大到暴雨，最大可达大暴雨，而后气温下降，转为雨夹雪或纯雪，这是预测的一般状况，也是最普遍的状况。而后周六和周日冷锋过境完成，冷气团控制，晴朗。（以下为中央气象台预报图）
从EC和中央气象台的预报中，我们可以看到，降水量很大。中央气象台认为安徽中南部、江苏中南部会有大到暴雪（原来预测上海西部都有暴雪，现在修正了一些）；EC更是画更大的饼，上海大部都会有大到暴雪。对于以上的预测，我的观点是，可供参考，中央气象台目前预报更合理些，但具体上海那天到底是降雨还是降雪、强度如何，明天后天看会更明朗些，现在还没有定数。但像南京、合肥，大概率还是要遭遇明显的降雪过程。
但各位无需过度担心，大家需要做的是关注属地气象台做出的预报、发出的预警，做出相应对策。上述地区周五应根据地方气象台发布的预警安排自己的出行，若出行一定要注意行车安全！
本期编辑：roshel312
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  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/b.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/b.460.net.cn/runtime/temp/b35eef690f41e64ad9e1c098cfc7d3bc.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/b.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000503s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=b460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000771s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000324s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000280s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000630s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000241s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000623s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 475530 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000478s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770182049 WHERE `id` = 475530 [ RunTime:0.004341s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000265s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475530 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000461s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 475530 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000416s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475530 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001118s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475530 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001233s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475530 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000783s ]
0.080199s