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规划 | 东航“做空”南京机场,那就请看好且有能力的来

  • 2026-05-30 14:26:58
规划 | 东航“做空”南京机场,那就请看好且有能力的来

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你方唱罢我登场，风水轮流转
01东航看空且大幅做空南京机场

据DAST数据，民航换季后，3月29日至5月12日（约1.5个月），东航在南京机场日均同比减少8.4班航班，减班率近10%。 其在长三角其他主要机场减班幅度要小很多，其中浦东日均仅减少约3.9班，虹桥约1.2班，而其在杭州机场反向日均增班2.5班，增幅达5.3%。

可见，东航不仅看空南京机场，更是大幅做空南京机场运力。作为南京机场目前份额最高的航司，也是最大的做空力量。

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02看多看空只是观点，不代表正确，南航逆势加仓南京机场
与东航形成鲜明对比的是，以南航为代表的航司，同期逆势增加南京机场航班量，日均增加3.2班，航班量增幅度达12.6%，成为近期南京机场的运力“顶梁柱”。
而吉祥航空此前因受发动机问题停飞部分机队影响仅小幅减少南京机场航班量，近期将逐渐恢复，预计航班量将至少恢复至去年同期水平。

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03运力承压，南京机场恐再度陷入负增长泥潭

据DAST数据，3月29日至5月12日，南京机场提供航班座位总数相对去年同期减少约29.1万个（其中东航减少约12万个，占比超过40%），降幅达约6.4%，导致同期平均票价大幅上涨，客流增长因此承压，南京机场恐再次进入负增长通道。

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/b.460.net.cn/runtime/temp/b35eef690f41e64ad9e1c098cfc7d3bc.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/b.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000707s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=b460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001197s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.003771s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.001602s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000993s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.004721s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001251s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 564738 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.015894s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1780486492 WHERE `id` = 564738 [ RunTime:0.024682s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002542s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564738 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.007551s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 564738 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.006121s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564738 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001630s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564738 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.054525s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564738 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.024115s ]
0.287712s