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危言耸听!南京房价回到2012年了?

  • 2026-06-25 11:21:58
危言耸听!南京房价回到2012年了?
昨天，我看全国权威房产数据机构冰山指数在直播的时候提到，南京房价已经回到2012年了，我们先看视频：
很多人比较奇怪，说南京房价真的到2012年了？14年前，有这么严重吗？我怎么没这种感觉？
所以，大家的感受，其实是完全不一样的。有的少数房源，房价跟高点比没怎么跌，比如最近百家湖别墅，成交价还创了新高。有的感觉房价回到2015年，比如河西南2015年下半年的新房价格就两万五左右，现在二手房比这个价还高一点。河西中二手房价格也跌了不少，但跟2012年相比还是高不少的。所以冰山指数的这个观点，引起了很多人的争议，认为有点危言耸听了。
其实，根本的原因就是大家的体感不同。那么冰山指数的数据，到底对对还是错？应该说比较客观。
冰山统计的数据是中位数，不是均价。一般来说，中位数低于均价，跌幅也高于均价，因为差的房子跌幅更大，数量更多。不过我们在贝壳/链家指数看到，现在南京的房价均价是1.58万左右，2013年2月份南京房价成交均价是1.65万，再往前就没有数据了。从这里可以推断出，当前房价其实是低于2013年年初的，那么只能退到2012年了。所以无论是冰山指数的中位数总价，还是贝壳链家的成交均价，南京房价都回退到2012年了，这个结论没有毛病。
但是不是所有的房价都回到2012年，有的跌的多，有的跌的少。远郊区的很多房子，跌幅都是超过60%的，比如禄口、正方新城、紫东核心区，包括鼓楼的一些学区房，他们把数据往下拉了不少。
情况就是这么个情况，现实确实比较骨感，但我们必须要接受。只有接受了，才能放开思想包袱，继续前行。起码有一点可以确定：相比于其他城市，南京房价泡沫，真的不多了。你觉得呢？
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

### 标题:南京玄武丨170万83平地铁口3室比同区省10万

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  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/b.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000473s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=b460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000556s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.003561s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.001356s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000534s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.002602s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000595s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 592587 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000921s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1782369876 WHERE `id` = 592587 [ RunTime:0.012871s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000332s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 592587 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000549s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 592587 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000386s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 592587 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.002147s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 592587 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000643s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 592587 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.004531s ]
0.127250s